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Oxford-Metro Forecast Challenge — Deadline: Friday, 29 May 2026 at 11:59 PM WAT Submit Forecast ↓
Oxford-Metro Forecast Challenge 2027 Election Watch

Forecast
Nigeria 2027

Think you understand Nigeria’s political mood? Submit daily forecasts on candidate momentum, party shifts, regional movement, and national issues — then climb the accuracy leaderboard.

Compete for a daily airtime reward pool of up to ₦100,000
Open
Daily Forecasts
36+FCT
States Tracked
6
Geopolitical Zones
Live
Accuracy Leaderboard

ⓘ No payment is required to participate. This is a civic forecasting challenge, not betting, gambling, staking, or a lottery.

Today’s Forecast Closes In
--Hours
--Mins
--Secs
--Day
Deadline: 11:59 PM WAT
Friday, 29 May
Today’s Forecast

Who Will Gain the Most Public Pulse Momentum Today?

Choose the political figure you believe will gain the most public attention or public pulse movement in the next 24 hours. Submit before the deadline to score points.

Open Public Forecasting Challenge — Not an INEC election, not a scientific poll, not a betting platform. Forecasts are submitted by website visitors for civic engagement and public sentiment research only.
Step 1Select a political figure Step 2Choose your state Step 3Click Submit Forecast
Submit Your Forecast
Select a figure above, then complete the fields below to submit your forecast before the daily deadline.
No figure selected yet

Select a figure and your state to enable submission.

Deadline: Friday, 29 May 2026 at 11:59 PM WAT
Results are scored after the daily public pulse window closes.

Point Scoring
Correct forecast +100 pts
Early correct bonus +25 pts
3-day streak bonus +50 pts
7-day streak bonus +150 pts
Wrong forecast 0 pts

Open civic forecasting challenge. Not an INEC election. Not a scientific poll. Not a betting or gambling platform. Forecast questions are based on public pulse momentum and public political conversation.

Daily Reward Pool

Compete for up to
₦100,000 in Airtime Rewards

Submit your daily forecast, build your accuracy score, and qualify for airtime rewards based on verified forecasting activity and published challenge rules. Rewards may be awarded based on:

Daily forecast accuracy
Early correct forecasts
Consistent participation streak
Regional top forecasters
Verified leaderboard ranking
Season accuracy performance

ⓘ Rewards are subject to eligibility, verification, availability, and applicable rules. No payment is required to participate.

₦100k
Daily Airtime Pool
Forecast Topics

What Can You Forecast?

Candidate Momentum

Forecast which political figure will gain the most public pulse attention in the next 24 hours based on news, events, and public conversation.

Party Movement

Forecast which party or aspirant will gain momentum in the political conversation. Track APC, NDC, PDP-APM, ADC, SDP, and AAC shifts.

Regional Shift

Forecast where public sentiment may rise or shift across Nigeria’s six geopolitical zones.

National Pressure

Forecast which issue will dominate public anger: food prices, fuel, jobs, security, electricity, rent, or cost of living.

Process

How It Works

Submit Your Forecast

Choose what you believe will happen before the daily 11:59 PM WAT deadline. One forecast per challenge per day.

Build Your Accuracy Score

Correct forecasts earn points. Early correct forecasts may earn bonus points. Streak bonuses reward consistency.

Climb the Leaderboard

Track your ranking against other forecasters across Nigeria. Leaderboards reset weekly and seasonally.

Qualify for Rewards

Top verified participants may qualify for daily airtime rewards and the Grand Forecast Champion seasonal prize.

Points & Scoring

How Points Are Scored

ActionPoints
Correct daily forecast+100
Early correct forecast bonus+25
🔥 3-day accuracy streak+50
🔥🔥 7-day accuracy streak+150
Wrong forecast0
Duplicate or suspicious entryDisqualified

Forecasts must be submitted before the 11:59 PM WAT daily deadline. Edited, duplicate, automated, or suspicious entries may be removed.

📈 Scoring Notes
Forecasts must be submitted before the daily deadline to count for accuracy points.
Results are scored by Oxford-Metro after the public pulse window closes each day.
Streak bonuses are applied automatically when you submit correct forecasts on consecutive days.
Oxford-Metro verifies accuracy scores before processing reward eligibility. Scores are not final until verified.
Any suspicious, coordinated, or manipulated entries will be disqualified without appeal.
Live Rankings

Top Forecasters This Week

See who is reading Nigeria’s political mood accurately. Leaderboard uses verified accuracy scores only. Usernames and initials only — no personal details displayed.

Leaderboard will appear once verified forecasts are submitted and scored.
Be among the first to forecast Nigeria’s political momentum.
Submit Today’s Forecast ↑ ⓘ Leaderboard uses public pulse forecast data only. Individual user details are not published.
Season Prize

The Season’s Most Accurate
Political Forecaster

The Grand Forecast Champion will be selected at the end of each forecast season based on verified accuracy, points, consistency, and full compliance with the Oxford-Metro Forecast Challenge rules.

The grand prize is awarded based on verified forecasting performance, accuracy score, and compliance with the published challenge rules — not random draw, not payment, not luck.

Season 1 Schedule
Season opensJune 1, 2026
Season closesAugust 31, 2026
Season length90 Days
Champion announcedFirst week of September
StatusUpcoming
Zone Breakdown

What Each Zone Thinks Will Happen

Track how forecasts differ across Nigeria’s six geopolitical zones. Zone results unlock progressively as verified forecasts meet each display threshold.

NW
North West
Kano · Katsina · Kaduna · Sokoto · Zamfara · Kebbi · Jigawa
Awaiting Threshold

Awaiting forecast submissions for this zone.

Responses tracked: None yet

NE
North East
Borno · Yobe · Adamawa · Taraba · Gombe · Bauchi
Awaiting Threshold

Awaiting forecast submissions for this zone.

Responses tracked: None yet

NC
North Central
FCT · Niger · Kwara · Kogi · Nassarawa · Benue · Plateau
Awaiting Threshold

Awaiting forecast submissions for this zone.

Responses tracked: None yet

SW
South West
Lagos · Oyo · Ogun · Osun · Ondo · Ekiti
Awaiting Threshold

Awaiting forecast submissions for this zone.

Responses tracked: None yet

SE
South East
Anambra · Enugu · Imo · Abia · Ebonyi
Awaiting Threshold

Awaiting forecast submissions for this zone.

Responses tracked: None yet

SS
South South
Rivers · Delta · Edo · Cross River · Akwa Ibom · Bayelsa
Awaiting Threshold

Awaiting forecast submissions for this zone.

Responses tracked: None yet

Zone results appear in stages as verified forecasts accumulate. Minimum 50 verified responses are required before zone data is displayed.
Results Archive

Forecast Results Archive

See previous forecast questions, public expectations, and final outcomes. Results are published after each forecast window closes and scores are verified.

Forecast results will appear here once the archive builds.
Each completed forecast question is archived with the most selected figure, the verified outcome, and the accuracy rate.
Eligibility

Challenge Rules

No payment is required to participate in any part of the Oxford-Metro Forecast Challenge.
One verified forecast entry per challenge question, per participant, per day.
Participants must provide accurate contact details to be eligible to receive rewards.
Duplicate, automated, bot-generated, suspicious, or manipulated entries may be disqualified without notice.
Rewards are subject to verification, availability, and published eligibility rules.
Oxford-Metro may withhold rewards if fraud, abuse, or manipulation is detected.
Forecast questions are based on public pulse momentum and are not official election questions.
Results and scores are not final until verified by the Oxford-Metro team after each forecast window closes.
ⓘ Compliance Notice

Oxford-Metro Forecast Challenge is a civic forecasting and public sentiment engagement platform. It is not betting, gambling, staking, wagering, or a lottery. No payment is required to participate. Rewards, where available, are subject to published eligibility rules, verification, availability, and applicable regulations.

Forecast results are public engagement signals only. They are not official election results, not INEC results, not party primary results, and not scientific polling results. Listed political figures are discussed in relation to 2027 and should not be interpreted as confirmed candidates or official nominees.

Oxford-Metro Forecast Challenge

Think You Can Read
Nigeria Before the Crowd?

Submit today’s forecast, climb the accuracy leaderboard, and compete for daily airtime rewards. No payment required.

Not betting. Not gambling. Not a lottery. A civic forecasting challenge.